It is close to impossible for Manchester City to win the league now owing to the fact City cannot drop another point going forward. The Sky Blues literally have to win their next 18 Premier League matches in a row and then hope Liverpool who have been in scintillating form drop points.
The best-case scenario for City to rein in Liverpool is to beat them on Thursday, cut the deficit to 4 points and hope going forward Liverpool either:
- Lose 2 (drop 6 points).
- Lose 1 & Tie 1 (drop 5 points).
- Tie 2 (drop 4 points).***
- Tie 3 (drop 6 points).
If City and Liverpool tie on Thursday then it remains at 7 points, this deficit becomes super hard to make up, again City cannot drop even 1 point in the remaining 17 matches and Liverpool would have to:
- Lose 3 (drop 9 points).
- Lose 2 & Tie 1 (drop 8 points).
- Lose 1 & Tie 2 (drop 7 points).***
- Lose 1 & Tie 3 (drop 9 points).
- Tie 4 (drop 8 points).
If Liverpool beat City on Thursday and open up a 10 point lead then you can crown Liverpool champions immediately, because the only way they don’t win the league is if Liverpool FC:
- Lose 4 (drop 12 points).
- Lose 3 & Tie 1 (drop 11 points).
- Lose 2 & Tie 2 (drop 10 points).***
- Lose 2 & Tie 3 (drop 12 points).
- Lose 1 & Tie 4 (drop 11 points)
- Tie 6 (drop 12 points).
You get my drift. City are not going to win 18 straight matches, and Liverpool are not going to tie or lose many games.
*** If Liverpool & City should finish with equal number of points, I gave the advantage to Liverpool on goal differential.